# SSD library — wishlist (want, but not retrievable)

*Tracked per the library goal. Correct DOIs (from Crossref) are noted so a retry / institutional pull is easy.
Updated 2026-06-13.*

## Three critique papers — ✓ ALL RETRIEVED 2026-06-14 (operator Taildrop); earlier OA sweep (2026-06-13) had failed
*Lawful-route sweep on 2026-06-13 (publisher OA, government/EPA, university repositories incl. White Rose &
WUR, RUCforsk, VIMS author self-archive, core.ac.uk, Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex/Unpaywall, Wayback). All three
are flagged **`oa_status: closed`** by OpenAlex/Unpaywall with **no open-access PDF anywhere**. Per CLAUDE.md
they were **NOT** taken from any shadow library. Citation + abstract held below for the essay; flip to
RETRIEVED only via lawful institutional access (T&F / Wiley / Oxford-ETC subscription).*

- **Newman, M.C., Ownby, D.R., Mézin, L.C.A., Powell, D.C., Christensen, T.R.L., Lerberg, S.B. & Anderson,
  B.-A. (2000)** — "Applying species-sensitivity distributions in ecological risk assessment: assumptions of
  distribution type and sufficient numbers of species," *Environ. Toxicol. Chem.* 19(2):508–515. DOI
  `10.1002/etc.5620190233`. **✓ RETRIEVED via operator Taildrop 2026-06-14 (institutional access); now in `papers/`, title-verified.** (Earlier lawful-route sweep had failed:) Affiliation **[A]** (all authors VIMS / College of
  William & Mary). The author self-archive `vims.edu/people/newman_mc/pubs/Newmanetal2000.pdf` (once Google-
  indexed) now **404s** — VIMS site restructured, **no Wayback capture**, ScholarWorks not indexed, CiteSeerX
  (doi 10.1.1.334.2212) has no live PDF. *Abstract:* lognormal fit rejected for **15 of 30** datasets; a
  **bootstrap** (distribution-free) gave accurate HCp; adequate HC5 needed **15–55 species (median 30)** —
  more than regulators then required. *Key sample-size / distribution-type critique — HIGH PRIORITY.*
- **Maltby, L., Blake, N., Brock, T.C.M., Van den Brink, P.J. (2005)** — "Insecticide species sensitivity
  distributions: importance of test species selection and relevance to aquatic ecosystems," *Environ. Toxicol.
  Chem.* 24(2):379–388. DOI `10.1897/04-025R.1`; PMID 15719998. **✓ RETRIEVED via operator Taildrop 2026-06-14 (institutional access); now in `papers/`, title-verified.** (Earlier lawful-route sweep had failed:) Affiliation
  **[A]** (Maltby = Univ. Sheffield; Brock & Van den Brink = Alterra/Wageningen). No White Rose, WUR-edepot,
  CORE, or publisher-OA copy; Oxford-ETC `article-pdf` URL is Cloudflare-paywalled. *Abstract:* **taxonomic
  composition** of the assemblage significantly shifts the hazard estimate, whereas **habitat and geography do
  not**; guideline-recommended species gave SSDs no different from non-recommended ones; recommends a **safety
  factor ≥5 on the median HC5** for repeated/continuous exposure. *Test-species-selection / selection-bias
  critique — HIGH PRIORITY.*
- **Forbes, V.E. & Calow, P. (2002)** — "Species Sensitivity Distributions Revisited: A Critical Appraisal,"
  *Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess.* 8(3):473–492. DOI `10.1080/10807030290879781` (note: the `…91124491` DOI used
  earlier is invalid / 404s in Crossref & OpenAlex). **✓ RETRIEVED via operator Taildrop 2026-06-14 (institutional access); now in `papers/`, title-verified.** (Earlier lawful-route sweep had failed:) Affiliation **[A]** (Forbes
  = Roskilde Univ., DK; Calow = Univ. Sheffield, UK). RUCforsk repository record exists
  (`forskning.ruc.dk/.../83ebd170-…`) but is **metadata-only — no attached file**; T&F paywalled. *Abstract:*
  SSDs are "typically based on **haphazard collections of species endpoints**"; adjusting them toward realistic
  trophic structure shifts the threshold "in a direction and extent that is **not predictable**"; the "uses all
  available data" claim is false — common applications "**only use a small fraction of the species data**."
  ***The single most important critical-appraisal paper.* HIGHEST PRIORITY** — needs T&F institutional access.

- **✓ RETRIEVED (2026-06-11) — Solomon et al. (1996)** atrazine ERA — the SETAC DOI served a wrong PDF, but the
  **Wiley DOI `10.1002/etc.5620150105`** fetched the correct 46-pp paper. Now in `papers/`. *(Lesson: when a
  pre-2010 SETAC/Allen-Press `10.1897` DOI mismatches, try the Wiley `10.1002/etc.5620…` alternate.)*

## Failed on the mirror
- **Van der Hoeven, N. (2001)** — "Estimating the 5-percentile of the species sensitivity distributions without
  any assumptions about the distribution," *Ecotoxicology* 10:25–34. DOI `10.1023/A:1008998405241` — "not
  found on Sci-Hub mirrors." *Non-parametric alternative.*

## Books / grey literature / regulatory guidance
- **✓ HELD — Posthuma, Suter & Traas (2002)** — *Species Sensitivity Distributions in Ecotoxicology* (SETAC/Lewis,
  617 pp, 22 ch.) — **operator Taildrop 2026-06-14**; title-verified. Contains Suter's "North American history of
  SSDs" + the "European history" chapters. `Posthuma-Suter-Traas_2002_SSD_in_ecotoxicology_BOOK.pdf`
- **✓ HELD — Van Leeuwen (1990)** (*Environ. Management* 14:779–792) and **Emans et al. (1993)** (*ETC* 12:2139) —
  the Dutch rationale + RIVM's own validation — **Taildrop 2026-06-14**; in `papers/`.
- **✓ HELD — EU TGD No. 27 (EQS, 2018)** — self-fetched 2026-06-14 (RIVM-hosted public PDF); in `../sources/`.
- **Stephan et al. (1985)** — EPA Guidelines — **already held** in `../sources/`.
- **STILL MISSING — "Premises for Risk Management" / *Omgaan met risico's* (VROM, 1989)** — the Dutch cabinet
  policy that adopted the 5% cut-off. Grey literature (RIVM / VROM / Dutch parliamentary archive). *The ecological
  analogue to our 1995 ToR-rule primary — the single most-wanted original-motivation primary on this side.* The
  **Health Council 1995 commentary** on it is now held (`../sources/HealthCouncilNL_1995_...pdf`).
- **STILL MISSING — OECD Environment Monograph No. 59 (1992)**, *Report of the OECD Workshop on Extrapolation of
  Laboratory Aquatic Toxicity Data to the Real Environment* — the original regulatory deliberation Forbes & Forbes
  (1993) dissected. **Paper-only**; request via `ehs.contact@oecd.org`.
- **ECHA Guidance R.10** (REACH PNEC) — open EU guidance, not yet pulled (lower priority).

## Next snowball candidates (minor; not yet pulled)
Power & McCarty (1997) "Fallacies in ecological risk assessment practices"; Van der Hoeven (2001) nonparametric
5th-percentile (*Ecotoxicology* 10:25–34); Kon Kam King et al. (2014) Bayesian SSD; Craig (2013)
order-statistics/extrapolation; Warne et al. (2018) AU/NZ guideline revision. *(Suter 2002 "North American
history of SSDs" — now HELD inside the Posthuma/Suter/Traas book above.)*
